Chris Luckett

(Now updated, with the winners highlighted)

Need last-minute ideas for your Oscar pool? Here are my predictions and my estimation of each movie’s odds in their categories, if you find yourself struggling. Feel free to add your own predictions in the comments!

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PICTURE

1. The Artist (WINNER)
2. The Descendants
3. Hugo
4. The Help
5. Moneyball
6. Midnight in Paris
7. The Tree of Life
8. Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
9. War Horse

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DIRECTOR

1. Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist) (WINNER)
2. Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
3. Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
4. Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
5. Alexander Payne (The Descendants)

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ACTOR

1. George Clooney (The Descendants)
2. Jean Dujardin (The Artist) (WINNER)
3. Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
4. Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)
5. Demian Bichir (A Better Life)

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ACTRESS

1. Viola Davis (The Help)
2. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady) (WINNER)
3. Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
4. Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
5. Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)

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SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Christopher Plummer (Beginners) (WINNER)
2. Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close)
3. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
4. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
5. Nick Nolte (Warrior)

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SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Octavia Spencer (The Help) (WINNER)
2. Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
3. Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
4. Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
5. Jessica Chastain (The Help)

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ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Midnight in Paris (WINNER)
2. A Separation
3. Bridesmaids
4. The Artist
5. Margin Call

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ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. The Descendants (WINNER)
2. Moneyball
3. Hugo
4. The Ides of March
5. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

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ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Rango (WINNER)
2. Chico & Rita
3. A Cat in Paris
4. Kung Fu Panda 2
5. Puss in Boots

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ART DIRECTION

1. Hugo (WINNER)
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
3. The Artist
4. War Horse
5. Midnight in Paris

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CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Tree of Life
2. War Horse
3. Hugo (WINNER)
4. The Artist
5. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

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COSTUME DESIGN

1. The Artist (WINNER)
2. Hugo
3. Anonymous
4. Jane Eyre
5. W./E.

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DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
2. If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front
3. Piña
4. Hell and Back Again
5. Undefeated (WINNER)

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EDITING

1. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (WINNER)
2. The Artist
3. Moneyball
4. Hugo
5. The Descendants

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FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

1. A Separation (WINNER)
2. In Darkness
3. Bullhead
4. Footnote
5. Monsieur Lazhar

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MAKEUP

1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
2. The Iron Lady (WINNER)
3. Albert Nobbs

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SCORE

1. The Artist (WINNER)
2. War Horse
3. Hugo
4. The Adventures of Tintin
5. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

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SONG

1. “Man or Muppet” (The Muppets) (WINNER)
2. “Real in Rio” (Rio)

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SHORT (ANIMATED)

1. The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore (WINNER)
2. La Luna
3. A Morning Stroll
4. Wild Life
5. Dimanche (Sunday)

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SHORT (DOCUMENTARY)

1. The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom
2. Saving Face (WINNER)
3. God is the Bigger Elvis
4. Incident in New Baghdad
5. The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement

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SHORT (LIVE-ACTION)

1. Tuba Atlantic
2. The Shore (WINNER)
3. Raju
4. Time Freak
5. Pentecost

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SOUND EDITING

1. Hugo (WINNER)
2. War Horse
3. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
5. Drive

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SOUND MIXING

1. Hugo (WINNER)
2. Moneyball
3. War Horse
4. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
5. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

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VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Rise of the Planet of the Apes
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
3. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
4. Hugo (WINNER)
5. Real Steel