OSCARS 2018: Nomination Predictions

Photo: EPA

Image: EPA

Chris Luckett

This morning at the crack of dawn, a half-dozen of Hollywood’s elite will announce to the world the nominations for the 90th Academy Awards. What movies can you expect to be up for the treasured trophies this year? It’s a more contentious year than most, but while the winners are likely to hold some unpredictable surprises this year, it’ll be the same batch of movies showing up in category after category.

To make it more interesting, this year I’m only putting one alternate for every category.


BEST PICTURE

(Since there could be up to ten nominees, this category alone is ranked in the order of the likelihood of each movie’s inclusion. This is also the only category where the number of nominees could be anywhere between five and ten, since the rules were changed in 2010; with the wide field of likely nominees this year, I’m predicting this will be the first year since the introduction of the new rules that there will be a full ten.)

Image: Fox Searchlight Pictures

1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. The Shape of Water
3. Lady Bird
4. Dunkirk
5. Call Me By Your Name
6. The Post
7. Get Out
8. The Florida Project
9. Darkest Hour
10. The Big Sick

DARK HORSE: I, Tonya


BEST DIRECTOR

Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards…)
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Steven Spielberg (The Post)

DARK HORSE: Jordan Peele (Get Out)


BEST ACTOR

Image: Focus Features

Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
Tom Hanks (The Post)
Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)

DARK HORSE: Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)


BEST ACTRESS

Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards…)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
Soairse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Meryl Streep (The Post)

DARK HORSE: Jessica Chastain (Molly’s Game)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)
Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards…)
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards…)

DARK HORSE: Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Image: Fox Searchlight Pictures

Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)
Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

DARK HORSE: Hong Chau (Downsizing)


BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)

The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

DARK HORSE: I, Tonya


BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)

Image: STX Entertainment

Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Logan
Molly’s Game
Mudbound

DARK HORSE: The Beguiled


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
The LEGO Batman Movie
Loving Vincent

DARK HORSE: Despicable Me 3


BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
Foxtrot (Israel)
In the Fade (Germany)
Loveless (Russia)
The Square (Sweden)

DARK HORSE: The Insult (Lebanon)


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Image: Warner Bros.

Blade Runner 2049
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water

DARK HORSE: Mudbound


BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
The Greatest Showman
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water

DARK HORSE: The Beguiled


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

City of Ghosts
Faces Places
Icarus
Jane
Last Men in Aleppo

DARK HORSE: An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power


BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

116 Cameras
Alone
Edith+Eddie
Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405
Heroin(e)

DARK HORSE: Ten Meter Tower


BEST FILM EDITING

Image: TriStar Pictures

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Shape of Water

DARK HORSE: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri


BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Darkest Hour
Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2
I, Tonya

DARK HORSE: Wonder


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

DARK HORSE: Darkest Hour


BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Evermore” (Beauty and the Beast)
“Mighty River” (Mudbound)
“The Mystery of Love” (Call Me By Your Name)
“Remember Me” (Coco)
“This is Me” (The Greatest Showman)

DARK HORSE: “Stand Up for Something” (Marshall)


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Image: Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures

Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water

DARK HORSE: The Greatest Showman


BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

Cradle
Dear Basketball
In a Heartbeat
Lou
Negative Space

DARK HORSE: Fox and the Whale


BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE-ACTION)

DeKalb Elementary
The Eleven O’Clock
My Nephew Emmett
The Silent Child
Watu Wote/All of Us

DARK HORSE: Icebox


BEST SOUND EDITING

Image: Warner Bros.

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes

DARK HORSE: Wonder Woman


BEST SOUND MIXING

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Last Jedi
The Shape of Water

DARK HORSE: Wonder Woman


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Image: Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures

Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Last Jedi
The Shape of Water
War for the Planet of the Apes

DARK HORSE: Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2


The 90th Academy Award nominations will be announced this morning at 5:22am PST (8:22am EST) by Priyanka Chopra, Rebel Wilson, Rosario Dawson, and Michelle Rodriguez.

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