Chris Luckett

In many categories this year, there’s an expected winner, but some of the biggest categories this year are as tight as a coin flip. (Anyone who’s confident in the Best Picture winner for 2017 hasn’t done enough research.)

So what should you expect to see win tonight? What should you go with for your Oscar pool? Grab your homemade ballots and read on…

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BEST PICTURE

WILL WIN: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
COULD WIN: The Shape of Water
SHOULD WIN: Dunkirk
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Baby Driver

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BEST DIRECTOR

WILL WIN: Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)
COULD WIN: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
SHOULD WIN: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Edgar Wright (Baby Driver)

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BEST ACTOR

WILL WIN: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
COULD WIN: Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
SHOULD WIN: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Will Poulter (Detroit)

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BEST ACTRESS

WILL WIN: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
COULD WIN: Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
SHOULD WIN: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman)

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BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

WILL WIN: Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
COULD WIN: Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
SHOULD WIN: Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)

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BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

WILL WIN: Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
COULD WIN: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
SHOULD WIN: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread)

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BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)

WILL WIN: Get Out
COULD WIN: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
SHOULD WIN: The Big Sick
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: mother!

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BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)

WILL WIN: Call Me By Your Name
COULD WIN: Molly’s Game
SHOULD WIN: Call Me By Your Name
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Blade Runner 2049

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BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

WILL WIN: Coco
COULD WIN: Loving Vincent
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: The LEGO Batman Movie

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BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

WILL WIN: A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
COULD WIN: The Square (Sweden)

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BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

WILL WIN: Blade Runner 2049
COULD WIN: Mudbound
SHOULD WIN: Blade Runner 2049
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Kong: Skull Island

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BEST COSTUME DESIGN

WILL WIN: Phantom Thread
COULD WIN: The Shape of Water
SHOULD WIN: Darkest Hour
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Wonder Woman

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BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

WILL WIN: Faces Places
COULD WIN: Icarus

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BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

WILL WIN: Edith+Eddie
COULD WIN: Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405

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BEST FILM EDITING

WILL WIN: Dunkirk
COULD WIN: Baby Driver
SHOULD WIN: Baby Driver
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: mother!

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BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

WILL WIN: Darkest Hour
COULD WIN: Wonder
SHOULD WIN: Darkest Hour
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2

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BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

WILL WIN: The Shape of Water
COULD WIN: Dunkirk
SHOULD WIN: Dunkirk
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Call Me By Your Name

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BEST ORIGINAL SONG

WILL WIN: “Remember Me” (Coco)
COULD WIN: “This is Me” (The Greatest Showman)
SHOULD WIN: “The Mystery of Love” (Call Me By Your Name)
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: “Myron/Byron” (The Meyerowitz Stories)

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BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

WILL WIN: The Shape of Water
COULD WIN: Blade Runner 2049
SHOULD WIN: Blade Runner 2049
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets

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BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

WILL WIN: Dear Basketball
COULD WIN: Lou

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BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE-ACTION)

WILL WIN: DeKalb Elementary
COULD WIN: The Silent Child

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BEST SOUND EDITING

WILL WIN: Dunkirk
COULD WIN: Blade Runner 2049
SHOULD WIN: Dunkirk
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Kong: Skull Island

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BEST SOUND MIXING

WILL WIN: Dunkirk
COULD WIN: Baby Driver
SHOULD WIN: Dunkirk
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Kong: Skull Island

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BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

WILL WIN: Blade Runner 2049
COULD WIN: War for the Planet of the Apes
SHOULD WIN: The Last Jedi
SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER: Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets

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The 90th Academy Awards take place tonight 5:00pm PST (8:00pm EST).